Planul National de Cercetare, Dezvoltare si Inovare - PN II
Program: IDEI, Nr. Contract: 844/2008; cod
CNCSIS: ID_1778

MODELAREA MULTICRITERIALĂ A PROCESULUI DECIZIONAL ÎN CONDIŢII DE INCERTITUDINE CU APLICAŢII ÎN MANAGEMENTUL PORTOFOLIILOR

 

 

 


  
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Publicaţii – rezultate ale cercetării

2009

[1] Fulga, C., Preda, V., Nonlinear Programming with E-Preinvex and Local E-Preinvex Functions, European Journal of Operational Research, Vol. 192 (3), pp. 737-743, 2009.

http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2007.11.056

[2] Fulga, C., Dedu, S., Serban, F., Portfolio Selection with Prior Stock Selection, Economic Computation and Economic Cybernetics Studies and Research, Vol 43 (4), pp. 157-172, 2009.

http://www.ecocyb.ase.ro

[3] Fulga, C., Dedu, S., Modeling Risk with VaR and CVaR Risk Measures with Applications in Portfolio Management, Studii şi Cercetări de Calcul Economic şi Cibernetică Economică, Vol. 1-2, pp. 99-112, 2009.

http://www.revcib.ase.ro/

[4] Fulga, C., Dynamic Model for Portfolio Optimization, Book Series: Lecture Notes in Engineering and Computer Science, IMECS 2009: International MultiConference of Engineering and Computer Sciences, Vol. 2, pp. 2081-2086, Eds.: S. I. Ao, O. Castillo, C. Douglas, D. Dagan Feng, J.-A Lee , Publisher: Newswood Ltd. IAENG, Hong Kong, ISBN: 978-988-17012-7-5, 2009.
http://www.iaeng.org/publication/IMECS2009/

[5] Fulga, C., Multistage Portfolio Optimization, Proceedings of the XIII International Conference on Applied Stochastic Models and Data Analysis (ASMDA 2009), pp. 497-502, Eds: Leonidas Sakalauskas, Christos Skiadas, Edmundas K. Zavadskas, ISBN: 978-9955-28-463-5, Publisher: Vilnius Gediminas Technical University Press, 2009.
http://www.vgtu.lt/leidiniai/leidykla/ASMDA_2009/22/22-103.htm

[6]. Fulga, C., Dynamic Portfolio Optimization for Utility-Based Models , Proceedings of the 2009 International Conference on Information and Financial Engineering (ICIFE 2009), pp. 117-121, ISBN: 978-0-7695-3606-4, Publisher: IEEE Computer Society, Computer Society Press, 2009.
http://ieeexplore.ieee.org/xpl/tocresult.jsp?isnumber=5189957&ampampampampampisYear=2009&ampampampampampcount=40&ampampampampamppage=1&ampampampampampResultStart=25

[7] Fulga, C., Stochastic Models for Portfolio Management with Minimum Transaction Lots, Proceedings of the International Conference on Economic Cybernetic Analysis: Global Crisis Effects on Developing Economies, Vol. 1, pp. 631-637, Editura ASE, 2009, ISBN: 978-606-505-219-2.

[8] Fulga, C., Dedu, S., A Comparative Approach in Risk Management using VaR and CVaR Risk Measures, Proceedings of the International Conference on Economic Cybernetic Analysis: Global Crisis Effects on Developing Economies, Vol. 2, pp. 715-724, Editura ASE, 2009, ISBN: 978-606-505-219-2.

2010

[9] Agapie, A. (2010). Simple form of the stationary distribution for 3D cellular automata in a special case, Physica A (Statistical Mechanics and its Applications), 389(13), 2495-2499.

http://www.sciencedirect.com/science?_ob=PublicationURL&_tockey=%23TOC%235534%232010%23996109986%232039735%23FLA%23&_cdi=5534&_pubType=J&_auth=y&_acct=C000050221&_version=1&_urlVersion=0&_userid=10&md5=892139e4f14a53ad55387939ee8abc1d

[10] Dedu, S., Ciumara, R. (2010) Restricted Optimal Retention in Stop-Loss Reinsurance under VaR and CTE Risk Measures, Proceedings of The Romanian Academy, Series A, 11(3) 213-217.

http://www.acad.ro/sectii2002/proceedings/proc_pag2010_n03.htm

[11] Fulga, C., Dedu, S. (2010) A New Approach in Multi-Objective Portfolio Optimization using Value-at-Risk based Risk Measure, Proceedings of International Conference on Information and Financial Engineering ICIFE 2010, pp. 765-769, DOI: 10.1109/ICIFE.2010.5609467, ISBN: 978-1-4244-6927-7, Publisher: IEEE Computer Society, Computer Society Press, 2010.

http://ieeexplore.ieee.org/xpl/freeabs_all.jsp?arnumber=5609467

[12] Fulga, C. (2010) Probabilităţi cu aplicaţii în managementul portofoliilor, Editura ASE, Bucureşti, ISBN: 978-606-505-335-9.

[13] Fulga, C. (2010) Optimal Portfolio Selection with Disutility Based Risk Measure, under review at European Journal of Operational Research.

[14] Dedu, S., Fulga, C. (2010) Quantile-Based Risk Optimization with Prior Stock Selection for Asset Allocation, under review at Romanian Journal of Economic Forecasting.

[15] Fulga, C., Dedu, S. (2010) Risk modeling with new quantile based risk measures applied to portfolio optimization, under review at Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications.

[16] Fulga, C., Popescu, C. C. (2010) Possibilistic portfolio optimization with LR(1/2)- piecewise linear fuzzy parameters, under review at Fuzzy Optimization and Decision Making.

[17] Popescu, C. C., Fulga, C. (2010) Chance constrained programming with polygonal type fuzzy parameters with application in portfolio management, under review at Fuzzy Sets and Systems.

[18] Dedu, S., Fulga, C. (2010) Value-at-Risk Estimation Comparative Approach with Applications to Optimization Models, under review at Economic Computation and Economic Cybernetics Studies and Research.

[19] Dedu, S., (2010) Mean-­Risk Portfolio Optimization with Principal Component Analysis Based Stock Selection, Proceedings 10ème Colloque Franco-­Roumain de Mathématiques Appliquées, Poitiers.

[20] Fulga, C. (2010) Risk-return portfolio optimization with disutility function, Proceedings of 24th European Conference on Operational Research, Lisabona.

[21] Fulga, C. (2010) Single-period Portfolio Optimization in a Reward-risk Framework, Proceedings of 2010 International Conference on Operations Research, Munchen.

[22] Fulga, C. (2010) Utility-based mean-risk portfolio optimization, Proceedings of 2010 International Congress on Computational and Applied Mathematics, Leuven.

[23] Popescu, C.C., Fulga, C. (2010) Fuzzy portfolio optimization, Proceedings of the 5th International Conference on Economic Cybernetic Analysis: Efficiency of Social and Economic Anti-Crisis Policies, Bucureşti.

Alte activităţi prevăzute în Planul de Realizare al proiectului pe 2010

1) Organizarea Sesiunii Speciale Decision Making Modeling and Risk Assessment în cadrul conferinţei The 4th International Conference on Economic Cybernetic Analysis: Global Crisis Effects on Developing Economies, May 22-23, 2009 , Bucharest.  

Organizator: Cristinca FULGA

În cadrul Sesiunii Speciale au fost prezentate două lucrări ([7] si [8] din lista anterioară de lucrări) ce reprezentau direcţiile de cercetare din 2009 ale echipei proiectului.

2) Organizarea unui Scientifique Workshop Multicriteria decision making modeling cu participarea membrilor Catedrei de Matematică .

Organizator : Silvia DEDU

Data: 27 noiembrie 2009.

În cadrul Workshop-ului au fost prezentate trei lucrări  ([2], [3] şi [4] din lista anterioară de lucrări) ce reprezintă direcţiile de cercetare din 2009 ale echipei proiectului.

3) Organizarea Sesiunii Speciale Decision Making Modeling and Risk Assessment în cadrul conferinţei The 5th International Conference on Economic Cybernetic Analysis: Efficiency of Social and Economic Anti-Crisis Policies, May 14-15, 2010, Bucharest.  

Organizator: Cristinca FULGA

În cadrul Sesiunii Speciale au fost prezentate două lucrări ([14] si [16] din lista anterioară de lucrări) ce reprezentau două dintre direcţiile de cercetare din 2010 ale echipei proiectului.

Publications 2011

[24] Fulga, C., Dedu, S., Popescu, C., Risk Management. Applications in Portfolio Management (in Romanian), Editura ASE, Bucureşti, ISBN 978-606-505-473-8, 2011.

[25] Fulga, C., Optimal portfolio selection with disutility based risk measure, re-submitted in 2011 after review to European Journal of Operational Research, initial submission in 2010 to European Journal of Operational Research, under review.

[26] Popescu, C., Fulga, C., Possibilistic Optimization with Application to Portfolio Selection, Proceedings of Romanian Academy - Series A: Mathematics, Physics, Technical Science, Information Science, Vol. 12, Issue: 2, Pages: 88-94, 2011.

[27] Dedu, S., Fulga, C., Value-at-Risk estimation comparative approach with applications to optimization problems, Economic Computation and Economic Cybernetics Studies and Research, Volume: 45, Issue: 1, Pages: 127-142, 2011.

[28]  Agapie, A., Agapie, M., Zbaganu, G., (2011) Evolutionary algorithms for continuous-space optimisation, International Journal of Systems Science, Impact factor: 0.948, Scor relativ de influenta: 0.62302, published online.

[29] Fulga, C., Popescu, C., Possibilistic portfolio optimization with LR(1/2)- piecewise linear fuzzy parameters, re-submitted in 2011 after review to RAIRO – Operations Research, under review.

[30] Popescu, C., Fulga, C., Chance constrained programming with polygonal type fuzzy parameters with application in portfolio management, re-submitted in 2011 after review to International Journal of Uncertainty, Fuzziness and Knowledge-Based Systems, under review.

[31] Fulga, C., Dedu, S., Risk modeling with new quantile based risk measures applied to portfolio optimization, re-submitted in 2011 after review to Annals of Operations Research, under review.

[32] Dedu, S., Fulga, C., Quantile-Based Risk Optimization with Prior Stock Selection for Asset Allocation, under review from 2010 at Romanian Journal of Economic Forecasting.

[33] Fulga, C., Mean-Risk Portfolio Optimization with AHP-based Prior Stock Selection, Proceedings of the International Symposium on the Analitic Hierarchy Process ISAHP 2011, pp. 60-62, Editors: F. De Felice, E. Esposito, A. Petrillo, T.L. Saaty, Sorrento, Italy, June 15-18, 2011, ISSN: 1556-8296, ISBN: 978-88-906147-0-5.

[34] Fulga, C., Single Period Mean-risk Portfolio Rebalancing Model with a Hybrid Approach of the Stock Selection Phase, The 19th Triennial Conference of the International Federation of Operational Research Societies IFORS2011, Melbourne, Australia, July 10-15, 2011.

[35] Fulga, C., Multi-Period Portfolio Optimization, The 14th Conference of the Applied Stochastic Models and Data Analysis International Society ASMDA 2011, Rome, Italy, June 7-10, 2011.

[36] Fulga, C., Risk-Return Portfolio Optimization, The International Conference on Operations Research OR 2011, Zurich, Switzerland, August 30 - September 2, 2011.

[37] Fulga, C., Multi-Agent Systems Modeling and Management Based on a Decentralized/Cooperative Optimization Technique, The 10th IEEE/WIC/ACM International Conference on Intelligent Agent Technology, Lyon, France, August 22-27, 2011.

[38] Dedu, S., Fulga., C., Mean-risk portfolio optimization with prior stock selection based on hierarchical clustering technique, The 25th IFIP TC 7 on System Modeling and Optimization Conference, Berlin, Germany, September 12-16, 2011.

[39] Popescu, C-C, Fulga, C., Chance constrained programming using polygonal type fuzzy parameters with application in portfolio management, The 25th IFIP TC 7 on System Modeling and Optimization Conference, Berlin, Germany, September 12-16, 2011.

[40] Fulga, C., Optimal Portfolio Selection with Disutility Based Risk Measure, The 25th IFIP TC 7 on System Modeling and Optimization Conference, Berlin, Germany, September 12-16, 2011.

Organization of invited symposiums or special sessions at international conferences in 2011

1)      Organization of the Mini-symposium MS 13 within The 25th IFIP TC 7 Conference on System Modeling and Optimization 2011: Advances in risk management and optimization in finance

Mini-symposium organizer: C. Fulga

Mini-symposium homepage: http://www.ifip2011.de/index.php?article_id=60

Contributed talks presented by C-C Popescu, S. Dedu, C. Fulga: [38], [39] and [40] from the list.

 

2)      Organization of the Invited Session: Operations Research in Finance 2 (in the stream Finance) at the 19th Triennial Conference of the International Federation of Operational Research Societies (IFORS 2011)

Invited session organizer: C. Fulga

Conference homepage: http://www.ifors2011.org/

IFORS 2011 Program: http://static.icms.com.au/ifors2011/program.pdf

Contributed talk: [34] from the list.

 

3)      Organization of the Invited Session FA 17: Financial modeling, risk management, banking (in the stream Investment decisions) at the International Conference of Operations Research (OR 2011)

Invited session organizer: C. Fulga

Conference homepage: http://www.or2011.ch/

OR 2011 Program: http://www.euro-online.org/conf/display.php?page=program

Contributed talk: [36] from the list.